Tag: iowa

Trump-vada!

Posted on by The Binge Thinker

For the record…

In Iowa – I predicted Cruz by 5%, Rubio makes a hard run at Trump in a battle for second.
In Iowa – Cruz won by 4%, and Rubio made a hard run at Trump for second.

In New Hampshire – I predicted a Trump win, and Cruz and Bush to out perform their poll numbers.
In New Hampshire – Trump won, and Cruz and Bush out performed… And everyone else underperformed.

In South Carolina – I predicted a bloodbath between the winners of Iowa and New Hampshire and that the winner would most likely be the eventual nominee.
In South Carolina – a bloodbath ensued and the winner in New Hampshire took a lead in delegates 67-11.

In Nevada – I predicted Trump would win by 15-25%.
In Nevada – Trump won by 21%.

Any questions?

Up Next: Super Tuesday!

Here we go again!

Posted on by The Binge Thinker

I’m scaring myself how close I’m getting with this stuff!

In 2006, fully two years before it happened and at least 12 months before anyone began to believe it, I predicted that Barack Obama would become President in 2008, and sworn in January 2009. Rush Limbaugh read my prediction on the air, the day after I wrote it at Townhall.com.

Last week in Iowa I said: Cruz would win by around 5, Rubio would surge, Donald would fade, and they’d fight it out for second place. Cruz won by 4, Rubio surged, Trump faded, and they finished one percentage point apart.

Yesterday: Final Poll–ARG–pre-NH-primary (morning of):

  1. Trump – 33
  2. Kasich – 17
  3. Rubio – 14
  4. Cruz – 10
  5. Bush – 9
  6. Christie – 8

My official prediction: “Trump wins but under performs, Cruz and Jeb over perform.”

Final Results:

  1. Trump – 35 (wins/but over performs)
  2. Kasich – 16
  3. Cruz – 12 (over performs)
  4. Bush – 11 (over performs)
  5. Rubio – 10
  6. Christie – 7

My general election prediction said from the beginning that Cruz would win Iowa, Trump would win New Hampshire, and that South Carolina will become a blood bath!

For the next two weeks, for civilized people, for my “friends” on social media, for the sake of the future, it’s about to get as ugly as it can get every 4 years.

I only pray that our republic can survive…

COUNTDOWN TO THE CAUCUS: Down to the wire…

Posted on by The Binge Thinker

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http://www.ustream.tv/recorded/82250280

It’s finally upon us. The final weekend before the official voting gets underway in the 2016 Election. On Monday voters will go to the polls for the first time that counts in the actual race. As of Monday night, we will have an actual front runner. We will have someone who is actually winning the race for delegates–as this year’s caucuses will actually be binding delegates for the Cleveland convention this summer.

All week long we spoke to the candidates. We issued invites for them to come and join us.

The conversations were serious and I believe helpful and contrasting in the minds of listeners and I also believe instructive on where the candidates and campaigns will take the country if elected.

I’ve decided to aggregate the entire week of conversations into a single post. Feel free to not only use it for yourself as a source of reference, but pass it on via social media to those in Iowa in particular who may yet not be decided on who they are at this point supporting.

Thanks to each of the campaigns for participating. Thanks to those who wished to but got to us too late.

I am praying for the outcome on Monday, that it will be good for our nation, and I’m sure you hope and maybe even pray the same.

Countdown To The Caucus: Mike Huckabee

Posted on by The Binge Thinker

Continuing our series leading up to the Monday Caucus in Iowa we present to you a sit down with the man who is currently the record holder for the biggest turnout and record haul of votes ever cast in the Iowa Caucuses.

In 2008 Governor Mike Huckabee literally came from nowhere to bounce John McCain and Mitt Romney. He went on to win 8 states outright and only barely lost the election saying primary in South Carolina.

But we don’t discuss polls, votes, or past elections.

We focus exclusively on what a President Huckabee administration would look like, how it would function, and how we would serve as President.

To listen to all of the conversations in the Countdown To The Caucus series CLICK HERE.

ALERT: Vets and Donald don’t much like each other…

Posted on by The Binge Thinker

Earlier today I saw a parade of stories come floating through my feeds telling me of different Veterans groups that didn’t much appreciate being played as a useful idiot in the Donald Trump Reality Show. I grasp their concerns and understand how they will be needing to work with any incoming administration to improve the plight of those who have served us so faithfully in uniform.

Both of my grandfathers served in the NAVY in the big war. I had several uncles in the Air Force. A few distant cousins in the Marines, and one I believe who even served Army.

My mother’s father had long lasting injuries sustained from his service and was afforded care and help from the government as a Disabled Veteran.

Through all the years and administrations I remember him talking about his experiences with Veterans’ Affairs or the VA as something he was grateful for.

With the recent revelations of how the Obama administration allowed the conditions for our heroes to deteriorate much like he is disintegrating our service vehicles–ships and planes especially–it has turned my stomach that veterans are going through such pain.

But when Mr. Trump decided to use the veterans to get back at a network that wouldn’t bend and capitulate to his tantrums…

Let’s just say we can all understand why Iowans are abandoning him like flies, and why veterans felt used.

These were my thoughts before I ever even glanced at this piece. I don’t much read the particular outlet often, but its arguable to try make the case with straight face that he has always been “pro-vet.” At least from the veterans who were around him the most.

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Countdown To The Caucus: Rick Santorum

Posted on by The Binge Thinker

Senator Rick Santorum may be the 2016 candidate that has the clearest policy vision for his goals as President.

It is clear that as we discussed the areas that he has challenged the voters to consider, he definitely hits home on the greatest challenges of our time: terrorism, and jobs.

We are grateful that he took the time to participate in the Countdown to the Caucus week:

Countdown To The Caucus: Ben Carson

Posted on by The Binge Thinker

This week we will speak to the candidates of 2016 and give you their positions on the issues that they feel like you care about.

Today we speak with neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson. We discuss economic outlook, national defense, national health care, the issue of life and conscience, and many additional issues. The purpose of all of it is to give you the voters the advantage of hearing directly from those asking for your vote.

Thus far we have commitments from Carson, Santorum, Huckabee, and Cruz campaigns to appear. The Trump people have also signaled that they will be with us.

It’s our desire to simply give you the information that you can use to make your best decision. And I happen to believe that hearing from them directly is the very core of the best way to do it.

The Pact With Palin

Posted on by The Binge Thinker

By the time it actually became news today it was already old.

Sarah Palin was going to endorse Trump.

Listeners to talk radio in New York were calling the Joe Piscopo Show during morning drive convinced it was going to happen.

On my way to the airport in NYC I heard news reports of a private plane leaving Anchorage and heading to Des Moines.

By midday a snarky Cruz staffer had posted a picture on Twitter that supposedly insulted Palin. The picture was Governor Palin standing next to Ted Cruz and the caption read “she knows how to pick winners.”

For some reason Bristol Palin took umbrage to it and went directly to her blog at Patheos and barked out a post about how mean Cruz was and she hoped her mom endorsed Trump just to spite him.

Very dignified Bristol, very dignified.

Then sometime between my take off in NYC and my connection in Phoenix Sarah Palin made it official, she’s throwing in with the Donald.

What he’s promised her, what it holds for her future, nobody knows, but Donald Trump believes he’s taken the final card out of the deck.

To in essence take a mentor of Cruz and to make her betray him, in Donald’s world, this is something he admires.

Color me unimpressed. Unimpressed with the Donald anyway.

Though these formerly conservative women do have me perplexed.

Phyllis Schlafly, Ann Coulter, and now Sarah Palin, I used to hold all of them in high regard.

I used to admire them for their unswerving devotion to truth, principle, and good.

I used to ponder how they found the courage to stand in the face of such reprehensible onslaught from the left for the duration of their careers.

But I guess truth doesn’t rank as high for them as it once did, principle is relegated to a sideshow, and truth?

How can they truthfully say that they are willing to fight the good fight and be used like pawns by one of the least principled men to ever rise?

Donald Trump might well become President, he might honestly believe the things he claims he does now. But for women who have spent their public lives and careers noting the inconsistencies of liberals, it seems that they are having a hard time recognizing one right in front of them.

So Ann, Sarah and Phyllis answer me these questions:

  1. Are you no longer pro-life?
  2. How can you support a candidate whose record on it is so spotty?
  3. Are you aware that the Donald was against a single payer health care system before he was for it?
  4. Do you honestly think Mr. Trump understands the Constitution?
  5. Do you just enjoy the rush it gives you for a man of that power to use you for his purposes?
  6. Do you honestly believe he will administrate the nation in the exact same fashion he has campaigned in?
  7. What about his formerly massive financial support to the Clintons?
  8. Is there anything related to his ability to flip-flop that bothers you-you ladies of unswerving devotion?

I’m not asking any of these questions as snark. Im genuine. Genuinely baffled at the lack of scruples you are showing in lending your voices to a man who has trouble explaining his way out of a paper bag.

And if you follow through with your support for him Ms. Coulter you owe a lot of genuine conservatives a LOT of apologies.

My only other thought on this is that I honestly believe none of you matter on this issue.

There is little evidence that Donald Trump has brought in ANY new voters into the Republican primary race.

And that means he is likely going to be disappointed on Caucus night in Iowa.

But not nearly as disappointed as I am in what you three have allowed to happen to your otherwise notable service to the conservative movement.