For the record…

In Iowa – I predicted Cruz by 5%, Rubio makes a hard run at Trump in a battle for second.
In Iowa – Cruz won by 4%, and Rubio made a hard run at Trump for second.

In New Hampshire – I predicted a Trump win, and Cruz and Bush to out perform their poll numbers.
In New Hampshire – Trump won, and Cruz and Bush out performed… And everyone else underperformed.

In South Carolina – I predicted a bloodbath between the winners of Iowa and New Hampshire and that the winner would most likely be the eventual nominee.
In South Carolina – a bloodbath ensued and the winner in New Hampshire took a lead in delegates 67-11.

In Nevada – I predicted Trump would win by 15-25%.
In Nevada – Trump won by 21%.

Any questions?

Up Next: Super Tuesday!

Here we go again!

I’m scaring myself how close I’m getting with this stuff!

In 2006, fully two years before it happened and at least 12 months before anyone began to believe it, I predicted that Barack Obama would become President in 2008, and sworn in January 2009. Rush Limbaugh read my prediction on the air, the day after I wrote it at

Last week in Iowa I said: Cruz would win by around 5, Rubio would surge, Donald would fade, and they’d fight it out for second place. Cruz won by 4, Rubio surged, Trump faded, and they finished one percentage point apart.

Yesterday: Final Poll–ARG–pre-NH-primary (morning of):

  1. Trump – 33
  2. Kasich – 17
  3. Rubio – 14
  4. Cruz – 10
  5. Bush – 9
  6. Christie – 8

My official prediction: “Trump wins but under performs, Cruz and Jeb over perform.”

Final Results:

  1. Trump – 35 (wins/but over performs)
  2. Kasich – 16
  3. Cruz – 12 (over performs)
  4. Bush – 11 (over performs)
  5. Rubio – 10
  6. Christie – 7

My general election prediction said from the beginning that Cruz would win Iowa, Trump would win New Hampshire, and that South Carolina will become a blood bath!

For the next two weeks, for civilized people, for my “friends” on social media, for the sake of the future, it’s about to get as ugly as it can get every 4 years.

I only pray that our republic can survive…

Hillary: Benghazi Victims’ Families are LYING!

A common occurrence on the campaign trail is to stop by local press outlets (especially in Iowa and New Hampshire) to visit the editorial boards. You hope to answer their questions, persuade their editorial writers, and ultimately their readers that you are a worthy candidate. You’re really hoping to win their endorsement.

So Hillary Clinton stopped by a local New Hampshire newspaper for one of these stops:

Guerringue also asked about the controversy surrounding an email to her daughter in which she blamed the attack on “an al-Qaeda-like group,” while a statement put out by her State Department made it appear that the attack was a spontaneous uprising stemming from a video on the Internet. She chalked up the mixed messages to the “fog of war” and likened the situation to a “40-alarm fire.”

Another editorial writer needed more:

Sun Columnist Tom McLaughlin said she told an Egyptian diplomat the Benghazi attack was planned and not a protest but that she told family members of the deceased that the attack was the result of a demonstration. He said she then told George Stephanopoulos that she didn’t tell the families the attack was a demonstration about a film.

“Somebody is lying,” said McLaughlin.”Who is it?

Clinton replied, “Not me, that’s all I can tell you.”

So she’s now flat out calling the families of the heroes of Benghazi, LIARS?

I have remarked repeatedly at how stuck in an era long gone Hillary’s campaign feels. She is clunky, slow on her feet, not terribly convincing on the stump from a lot of perspectives. She is pseudo engaging under the best of circumstances.

But her horrible policy ideas aside. Her biggest deficit remains that she feels untrustworthy, and as a result untrusted, by the vast majority of Americans.

These problems only amplify themselves when she decides to callously and uncaringly casts aspersions on the families of the men who gave their lives protecting her–and trying to save her supposedly “life long friend” and subordinate.

Hillary continues to be as out of touch as they come.

She is the worst candidate that the Democrats have put forward in 50 years.

Sadly for them she’s also the only option they have.

And under no circumstances should she ever be allowed to become President of the United States.